Bully The Bookie: 11/17


YEAR TO DATE BULLY THE BOOKIE RECORD

NCAAF: 19-9 (2-2 last week)

NFL: 11-11-3 (1-2-1 last week)

Overall: 30-20-3 (3-4-1 last week)

University of Nevada at Las Vegas Rebels (3-7, 5-5 ATS) @ Hawaii Warriors (6-5, 3-7-1 ATS)

Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, HI, Saturday November 17th, 11PM EST

Line: Hawaii -6.5, O/U 70

Mid-November in the 6ix means means its time to bust out the Canada goose jacket and timbs in attempt to brace the cold. However, there are no mittens required for this mental journey we take to Aloha Stadium.

My hottest pick of the week will be taking place on this tropical island.

The Warriors will host the bottom feeder of the Mountain West conference; UNLV Rebels. This game comes at a great time for Hawaii to get back on track as they attempt to set up a bowl game appearance after missing out last year.

The Aloha state started the season 6-1 but their season took a 180 as of late. The Warriors have lost 4 straight which was semi-expected. Their last 4 games were against the top 4 teams of the MW Conference. Now, Hawaii is coming off of their much needed bye-week and should be hungry for the lesser opponent.

And if that's not enough, it's senior night. Aloha Stadium will likely be one major Luau, filled with babes walking around in leis and all sorts of Hawaiian debauchery.

In summary, senior night falls on a Saturday after a bye week against a weaker foe. Then you look at a spread that is currently under a TD.

Quick Stats

- UNLV gives up 40+ points per game on the road this year

- Hawaii scores 33 points per game at home this year

- UNLV 1-4 last 5 games on the island state

PICK: HAWAII -6.5

PREDICTION: WARRIORS 45 - REBELS 31

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Extra CFB plays

Michigan State Spartans @ Nebraska Cornhuskers

PICK: OVER 49 as two BIG10 disappointments square off. Nebraska’s offense is one of the best in the conference. They’ve proven to be able to put up points vs stout defenses such as Northwestern and Wisconsin. Nebraska has also proven they can’t stop anyone when they’re on defense. Even a BAD Spartans offense will be able to put up enough. 28-24 HUSKERS

12 Syracuse Orange @ 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish

PICK: OVER 65 as two ranked teams clash at Yankee Stadium. There may be no dingers going on this Saturday in the Bronx but the surplus of touchdowns will certainly compensate. Make sure when you watch this game you pay attention to both QBs. Cuse’s Dungey and ND’s Book are electric and will power their respective offenses above this total. 42-31 FIGHTING IRISH

9 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Maryland Terrapins

PICK: BUCKEYES -15.5 as this BIG10 matchup shows two teams trending in opposite directions. Ohio St is hot and Maryland is cooling off with some embarrassing L’s recently. These two teams don’t have much history. Only 4 games over the last 4 years. But in those 4 games, not only did Ohio St sweep the series, they’ve won by an average of 39 while putting up 56.25 point per game. 48-21 BUCKEYES

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Kansas City Chiefs (9-1, 8-2 ATS) @ Los Angeles Rams (9-1, 4-5-1 ATS)

Los Angeles Memorial Stadium, Los Angeles, CA, Monday November 19th, 8:15PM EST

Line: LA -3.5, O/U 63

Super Bowl 53 preview? Maybe.

Monday Night Football game of year? Definitely.

Not sure where to start with the arsenal of offensive weapons in this game.

Gurley and Goff make up a potent backfield for LA. But unfortunately for the City of Angels, they aren’t even the strongest in this matchup .

Get you a man that looks at you the way Kareem Hunt looks at Patrick Mahomes.

With these 4 MVP candidates on the field at once, I wouldn't change that dial.

The Rams defense has been slightly exposed recently and it couldn’t come at a worse time with this young gunslinger coming to town. KC, on the other hand, continues to look like a force that can’t be stopped.

Quick Facts

- LA has given up 34.33 points per game over their last 3

- KC’s 2nd most fiery offense averages 35.5 this year

- KC is 3-0 ATS when an underdog this year

PICK: KANSAS CITY +3.5

PREDICTION: CHIEFS 38 - RAMS 34

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Extra NFL plays

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts

PICK: TITANS +1 as two AFC South teams riding win streaks meet in Indiana’s capital. The win streaks speak differently though. Titans beat the Pats and Cowboys effortlessly while the Colts 3 game win streak came against bottom feeders such as the Bills, Raiders and Jags. Titans boast the league’s best defense while their offense has finally clicked; they’ve scored 62 over the last 7 quarters. I’ll take the hotter, stronger team in this pick em spread. 24-17 TITANS

Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers

PICK: UNDER 46.5 as this AFC West rivalry has presented the under to be profitable and I see the trend continuing this week.

- The total has gone under the last 5 times the Chargers hosted the Broncos

- Last 10 matchups have an average combined score of 38.9 points

- Broncos have gone under last 6 of 8 games

- Chargers have gone under last 4 of 5 games

23-16 CHARGERS

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears

PICK: BEARS -2.5 as Chi town will prove themselves as a legit NFC contender on Sunday Night Football. Everyone knows about the Bears hard-nosed D led by Khalil Mack, but it’s time to start talking about the Mitch Trubisky led offense. He has quietly slang 19 TDs while maintaining a QB rating of over 100. Lay the money on Mack and Trubisky to handle the Purple People Eaters in a great game. 27-21 BEARS